Instructions for Speakers

Session 1

Forensic Science: Analytical Methods and Interpretation

• Handling Manipulated Evidence, Gianluca Baio, University of Florence, Italy
• Inter-operator Test for the Clicking of Polylines in Earprints, Ivo Alberink, Statistical Consultant, Netherlands Forensic Institute
• Dealing with Selection Effects in Forensic Science, Marjan Sjerps, Statistical Consultant, Netherlands Forensic Institute
• Data Fusion, Data Mining and Pattern Recognition Applied to Fiber Analysis, Suzanne Bell, West Virginia University, USA
• Multivariate Statistical Approaches for the Discrimination of Textile Fibers by UV/visible and Fluorescence Microspectrophotometry, Stephen L. Morgan, Alexander A. Nieuwland, James, E. Hendrix, Department of Chemistry and Biochemistry, University of South Carolina, USA; Edward G. Bartick, FBI Laboratory, FBI Academy, USA

Session 2A

Forensic Science: Analytical Methods and Interpretation

• Multivariate Characterization of XTC, Annabel Bolck, Netherlands Forensic Institute, Rijswijk
• Forensic Stylistics: Scientific Reliability, Dongdoo (Don) Choi, College of Law (J.D. candidate), Arizona State University, USA
• Variability in the Refractive Index of Glass, Geva Maimon, McGill University, Montreal, Canada
• Evaluation of Glass Fragments Described by Elemental Content – Applications in Casework, Grzegorz Zadora, Institute of Forensic Research, Cracow, Poland
• Interval Estimates of Ages of Insect Larvae Based on Multivariate Size Data with Adjustment for Covariates, Lynn R. LaMotte, Louisiana State University School of Public Health, USA

Session 2B

Issues in Evaluating Statistical and Legal Evidence

• A Bayesian Model to Control for Selection Bias, with an Application to Racial Profiling, Kathy Barnes, Washington University School of Law, Saint Louis, USA
• Evaluation of Extreme-value Evidence, Breedette Hayes, School of Mathematics, The University of Edinburgh, UK
• Structural Taxonomies of Legal Evidence, David Lucy, School of Mathematics, University of Edinburgh; Burkhard Schaffer, School of Law, University of Edinburgh, UK
• Methods for Assessing Whether Data Underlying Statistical Analyses Submitted as Evidence in Courts Satisfy the Assumptions Required for the Results to be Reliable, Yulia Gel, University of Waterloo, Macalester College, Canada; Weiwen Miao; Joseph L. Gastwirth, Department of Statistics, George Washington University, USA

Session 3

Forensic DNA Science

• A MCMC Method for Resolving Two-person Mixtures, James M. Curran, Department of Statistics, University of Waikato, New Zealand (Invited Paper)
• Building Blocks for DNA Identification from Bayesian Networks, A.P. Dawid, Department of Statistical Science, University College, UK (Invited Paper)
• Identification and Separation of DNA Mixtures Using Peak Area Information, Julia Mortera, Department of Economics, Universita` di Roma Tre, Italy (Invited Paper)
• Analysis of Drop-out Alleles Using Object-oriented Bayesian Networks, Paola Vicard, Department of Economics, Universita' Roma Tre, Italy

Session 4

Discrimination and Equality

• Discrimination as Causation: Implications for the Presentation of Statistical Evidence in Legal Settings, Stephen Fienberg, Carnegie-Mellon University, USA (Invited Paper)
• Measuring the Fairness of Share Allocations of Initial Public Offerings, Joseph Gastwirth, George Washington University, USA (Invited Paper)
• The Office of Federal Contract Compliance Programs: New Statistical Initiatives Michael D. Sinclair, Director of Statistical Analyses, OFFC, Wash. DC; Marika Litras, Regional Statistician, OFCC, San Francisco, California, USA (Invited Paper)
• Demonstration of Minority Disadvantage When Minority Populations Are Small, Rose M. Ray, Exponent Failure Analysis Associates, USA
• Griggs, Hazelwood, and Legal Perceptions of Fairness: The Role of Statistics on the Fairness Debate in American Discrimination Law, Steven L. Willborn, College of Law, University of Nevraska, USA (Invited Paper)

(Organizer: Joseph Gastwirth)

Session 5

Enhancing Jury Understanding of Scientific and Statistical Evidence

• Michael Dann, National Center for State Courts, Williamsburg, USA
• Erin Farley, Department of Sociology (Ph.D. candidate), University of Delaware, USA
• Linda Demaine, College of Law, Arizona State University, USA (Discussant)
• Michael Saks, Department of Psychology and College of Law, Arizona State University, USA (Discussant)

(Invited session, Organizer: D.H. Kaye)

Session 6A

Sampling, Probability, and Decision Theory

• Sample-size Determination for Analysis of Ecstasy Pills, Anders Norgaard, National Laboratory of Forensic Science and Department of Mathematics, Linköping University, Sweden
• A Statistical Procedure and Monte Carlo Simulation to Analyze a Creel/Angler Survey: Test of Validity and Estimation of Accuracy, Rose M. Ray, Exponent Failure Analysis Associates
• Damage Assessment in Breach of Contract Litigation, Duane L. Steffey, Exponent Failure Analysis Associates, Robert H. Sturgess, Motes, Shaw, Sears, Sturgess & Williams, P.A., & Stephen Fienberg, Carnegie-Mellon University, USA
• A Probability Argument for the Preponderance (or not) of Evidence Regarding Rare Events: The Source of an Adverse Event, Roger Grimson, US Food and Drug Administration
• Decision Analysis in Forensic Science, Franco Taroni, School of Criminal Sciences, The University of Lausanne, Switzerland, and Institute of Legal Medicine, The University of Lausanne, Switzerland; Silvia Bozzay, Department of Statistics, The University of Venice, Italy; Colin Aitken, School of Mathematics, The University of Edinburgh, Scotland

Session 6B

Forensic DNA Science

• Problematic DNA Evidence: Case Studies, William C. Thompson, Department of Criminology, Law & Society, University of California, Irvine, USA
• Searches of Databases of DNA Profiles: Theory and Practice, David Cavallini, University of Florence, Italy
• The Evidentiary Value of Forensic Mitochondrial DNA Evidence, Edward J. Ungvarsky & Andrea Roth, Public Defender Service for District of Columbia, USA
• It Was One of My Brothers, Amy Anderson & Bruce Weir, Department of Statistics, North Carolina State University, USA
• Represented by Proxy: Finding Relatives Using Offender DNA Databases, Charles Brenner, School of Public Health, University of California, Berkeley; David Lazer, Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University; Frederick Bieber, Harvard Medical School, Boston, USA

Session 7

Recent Developments: Fingerprinting

• Natural Experiments on Latent Print (Fingerprint) Accuracy, Simon A. Cole, Department of Criminology, Law & Society, University of California, Irvine, USA
• Point Process Models on Minutiae Features for Assessing Fingerprint Individuality Sarat Dass, Department of Statistics and Probability, Michigan State University, USA
• Statistical Assessment of Partial Fingerprints, Roberto Puch, Forensic Science Service, UK
• Discussion, Michael Saks, College of Law & Department of Psychology, Arizona State University, USA

(Invited Panel, Organizer: I.W. Evett)

Session 8

Recent Developments: Compositional Analysis of Bullet Lead

• Compositional Analysis of Bullet Lead as Forensic Evidence, Michael O. Finkelstein, New York City & Bruce Levin, Department of Biostatistics, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University
• The Probative Value of Bullet Lead Evidence, Alicia Carriquiry, Department of Statistics, Iowa State University
• Assessing the Legal Relevance of Bullet Lead Evidence: Did the NRC Misfire?, William C. Thompson, Department of Criminology, Law & Society, University of California, Irvine
• Discussion, David Banks, Department of Statistics, Duke University
• Discussion, D.H. Kaye, College of Law, Arizona State University

(Invited Panel, Organizer: David Banks)

Posters

• Complex DNA Mixture Analysis with Object-oriented Bayesian Networks, Marina Andrade, Department of Quantitative Methods, Business School, Instituto Superior de Ciências do Trabalho e da Empresa, Lisbon, Portugal, & Julia Mortera, Universita' Roma Tre, Rome, Italy
• Litigation Support - And Why It Makes Everything Else Look Easy, Tom Doerfler, Consultant, TIAX, USA
• The Use of a Combined Search, Statistic and Information Management System to Aid in the Rapid Identification of Human Remains, Patricia A. Foley, James Ross, Jon Norris, Demris Lee, & Col. Brion C. Smith, Armed Forces DNA Identification Laboratory
• A Maximum Likelihood Estimator of Pairwise Relatedness that Accounts for Evolutionary Effects, Amanda B. Hepler, Department of Statistics, North Carolina State University, USA (Ph.D. candidate)

Sessions with four speakers

With four speakers, the presentations should not exceed 16 minutes each. Given that some time might be consumed in getting underway and in transitions from one speaker to another, this will allow approximately 20 minutes for questions from the audience.

Sessions with five speakers

With five speakers, we urge that each presentation be kept to 13 minutes.  A limit of 15 minutes will be strictly enforced.

Audiovisual Requirements

We anticipate that most speakers will use PowerPoint presentations. The rooms will be equipped with a PC and projector (running under Windows). We strongly encourage you to email us your presentation at least one week before the conference. This will permit us to have it ready to project in advance of your talk. The rooms also will contain overhead projectors for transparencies.

Please email Sandy Askland if you have questions.